Implications of COVID-19 on the Global Mining Sector by Vlado Vivoda* in Aspects in Mining & Mineral Science_ Aspects in Mining & Mineral Science
Abstract
A
cyclical industry is sensitive to the business cycle. Revenues are generally
higher in periods of economic growth and are lower in periods of economic
downturn. Mineral price cycles mean that mining companies’ expenditure on
exploration and investment can vary considerably. Price fluctuations also have
a significant effect on fiscal revenues, exchange rates and employment levels
of countries rich in metals and minerals.
The reasons for price cycles lie in the high volatility of demand for metal and
mineral commodities and inflexible supply responsiveness. Demand for metals and
mineral commodities is highly sensitive to changes in the rate of economic
growth, partly because of the characteristics of the economic sectors in which
these commodities are used. These economic sectors, which include construction
and the production of capital goods and consumer durables, require large
long-term investments, and tend to be more volatile than general economic
activity. Demand for metals and mineral commodities is also sensitive to
manufacturers’ stockholding. As economies grow, manufacturers tend to build up
stocks in anticipation of increased production, adding to the demand for metals and minerals. When
economies retract, manufacturers often reduce their stocks, thus suppressing
demand for metal and mineral commodities
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